Prediction of Gerard Campana Lee vs Juan Sebastian Gomez at Bogota Challenger 11-24-25

• How does Gerard Campana Lee's second serve performance compare to Juan Sebastian Gomez's in the last 6 months? Campana Lee leads slightly with 45.94% of points won, as opposed to Gomez’s 42.33%.
• When considering the return game, Campana Lee has captured 49.45% of their opponent's second serve points, outpacing Gomez who has secured 46.01%.
• In first serve returns, Gomez is more efficient, obtaining 34.23% of points, while Campana Lee has gathered 30.61%.
• Under pressure, Gomez has saved 50.00% of breakpoints compared to Campana Lee's 48.61%.
• In terms of match outcomes over the past year, Gomez holds a slight edge with a 47.62% win rate, while Campana Lee has won 43.10% of their matches.
• Each player's preferred playing surface is distinct; Campana Lee excels on clay with a 51% win percentage, whereas Gomez performs best on hard courts, also holding a 51% win rate.
• At the Challenger/ITF level, Campana Lee has a win rate of 42.42%, which surpasses Gomez's 36.36%.
• Campana Lee has contended with opponents boasting an average rank of 395.03, while Gomez's opponents averaged a rank of 425.38, suggesting Campana Lee has faced tougher competition.
• Should this match reach a deciding set, Gomez is the more successful, having won 57% of such sets compared to Campana Lee's 26%.
• In recent breakpoint conversion, Gomez is ahead, capitalizing on 40.74% of opportunities versus Campana Lee's 35.27%.

Editorial Prediction (November 24, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match promises to be closely contested based on the players' recent performances. Gerard Campana Lee has demonstrated superior second serve points win percentage, along with holding an advantage in securing points from opponents' second serve games. This indicates his ability to pressure his opponent effectively in the rally.

On the other hand, Juan Sebastian Gomez showcases stronger first serve return skills and has shown resilience under pressure by saving more breakpoints. Additionally, Gomez's proficiency in converting breakpoints highlights his capacity to capitalize on critical moments.

While Gomez exhibits a slightly higher overall win rate over the past year, Campana Lee has arguably faced tougher competition, which might prepare him better for high-stakes matches. However, if the match progresses to a deciding set, Gomez's better track record could swing the advantage in his favor.

Considering all these factors, with small edges on both players' sides, Juan Sebastian Gomez appears slightly more likely to emerge victorious, primarily due to his decisive set performance record and his aptitude for converting breakpoints at crucial junctures.